Tropical Storm BARRY Forecast Discussion Number
11

post from NHC Atlantic on 19 June 2013 10:38:41 PM. © NHC Atlantic

Issued at 1000 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2013

000WTNT42 KNHC 200238TCDAT2 TROPICAL STORM BARRY DISCUSSION NUMBER  11NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL0220131000 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2013 THE CENTER OF BARRY HAS BEEN VERY DIFFICULT TO LOCATE THIS EVENING. LATE AFTERNOON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES AND EXTRAPOLATION FROM THEEARLIER ARICRAFT FIXES SUGGEST THAT THE CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR THESOUTHERN EDGE OF A BURST OF CONVECTION THAT DEVELOPED AROUND 0000UTC. THE INITIAL INTENSITY WAS INCREASED TO 40 KT ON THE 0000 UTCINTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...AND WAS BASED ON THE EARLIER AIRCRAFT DATAAND A 33-KT SUSTAINED WIND OBSERVATION AT SACRIFICE ISLAND...WHICHAT THE TIME...WAS STILL LOCATED WELL WEST OF THE CENTER ANDSTRONGEST WINDS.  A FEW OTHER OBSERVING SITES IN THE STATE OFVERACRUZ HAVE REPORTED WIND GUSTS IN THE 32 TO 38 KT RANGE SINCETHIS AFTERNOON.BARRY APPEARS TO BE MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 KT. THE CYCLONE IS BEING STEERED BY A NARROW RIDGE OVER THE GULF OFMEXICO...AND A SLOW WESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH LANDFALL.  SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORETHE CENTER MOVES INLAND THURSDAY MORNING.  AFTER LANDFALL WEAKENING WILL OCCUR...AND THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATEOVER THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO IN A DAY OR SO. THE MAIN HAZARD ASSOCIATED WITH BARRY WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL THAT COULD CAUSE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES OVER A LARGE PORTION OF SOUTHERN MEXICO.   FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT  20/0300Z 19.6N  95.8W   40 KT  45 MPH 12H  20/1200Z 19.6N  96.5W   40 KT  45 MPH...INLAND 24H  21/0000Z 19.5N  97.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND 36H  21/1200Z 19.5N  98.4W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H  22/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$FORECASTER BROWN

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Tropical Storm BARRY Wind Speed Probabilities
Number 11

post from NHC Atlantic on 19 June 2013 10:38:19 PM. © NHC Atlantic

Issued at 0300 UTC THU JUN 20 2013

000FONT12 KNHC 200238PWSAT2                                                                    TROPICAL STORM BARRY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11            NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022013               0300 UTC THU JUN 20 2013                                                                                                                AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR        LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.                                                                                                   Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                     ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME         EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME         CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME                                                                                                                                              I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                                                                                    CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                                                                                                                                                                   - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -                                                                          VALID TIME   12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUEFORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -DISSIPATED       X      16      36      NA      NA      NA      NATROP DEPRESSION 13      56      46      NA      NA      NA      NATROPICAL STORM  85      28      18      NA      NA      NA      NAHURRICANE        2       1       1      NA      NA      NA      NA- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -HUR CAT 1        2       1       1      NA      NA      NA      NAHUR CAT 2        X       X       X      NA      NA      NA      NAHUR CAT 3        X       X       X      NA      NA      NA      NAHUR CAT 4        X       X       X      NA      NA      NA      NAHUR CAT 5        X       X       X      NA      NA      NA      NA- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -FCST MAX WIND   40KT    25KT    20KT    NA      NA      NA      NA                                                                                                                                          II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                                                                                 CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST        ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                     ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                     ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS                                                                                   PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE                   IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING                    AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)             (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN                   00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)                                                                          PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHENTHE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                                                                                                                                                            - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -                                                                                     FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM   TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MONPERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO               12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE                                                                    FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION       KT                                                                                                                       TUXPAN MX      34  1   3( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6) VERACRUZ MX    34 49   2(51)   1(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)VERACRUZ MX    50  3   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4) $$                                                                  FORECASTER BROWN

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Tropical Storm BARRY Public Advisory Number 11

post from NHC Atlantic on 19 June 2013 10:38:07 PM. © NHC Atlantic

Issued at 1000 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2013

000WTNT32 KNHC 200238TCPAT2 BULLETINTROPICAL STORM BARRY ADVISORY NUMBER 11NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL0220131000 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2013 ...BARRY POISED TO BRING HEAVY RAINS TO SOUTHERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION-----------------------------------------------LOCATION...19.6N 95.8WABOUT 40 MI...60 KM NE OF VERACRUZ MEXICOMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...* PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO TUXPAN MEXICO FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITORPRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK------------------------------AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARRY WASLOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.8 WEST. BARRY ISMOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H. A GENERAL WESTWARDTRACK WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT ANDTHURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER IS FORECAST TOREACH THE COAST IN THE STATE OF VERACRUZ THURSDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHERGUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL...AND WEAKENING WILL OCCUR AFTER THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST ONTHURSDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KMFROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------RAINFALL...BARRY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONSOF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONSOF SOUTHERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASHFLOODING AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COASTWITHIN THE WARNING AREA OVERNIGHT. NEXT ADVISORY-------------NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT.NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. $$FORECASTER BROWN

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Tropical Storm BARRY Forecast Advisory Number 11

post from NHC Atlantic on 19 June 2013 10:37:43 PM. © NHC Atlantic

Issued at 0300 UTC THU JUN 20 2013

000WTNT22 KNHC 200237TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL0220130300 UTC THU JUN 20 2013 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...* PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO TUXPAN MEXICO TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N  95.8W AT 20/0300ZPOSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MBMAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.34 KT....... 70NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  30SE  30SW  90NW.WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICALMILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N  95.8W AT 20/0300ZAT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N  95.6W FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 19.6N  96.5W...INLANDMAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.34 KT... 70NE  30SE  30SW  30NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 19.5N  97.5W...INLANDMAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 19.5N  98.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOWMAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N  95.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z $$FORECASTER BROWN

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Tropical Storm BARRY Public Advisory Number 10A

post from NHC Atlantic on 19 June 2013 07:54:09 PM. © NHC Atlantic

Issued at 700 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2013

000WTNT32 KNHC 192353TCPAT2 BULLETINTROPICAL STORM BARRY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10ANWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022013700 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2013 ...BARRY A LITTLE STRONGER......TROPICAL STORM WARNING EXTENDED NORTHWARD... SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION----------------------------------------------LOCATION...19.6N 95.5WABOUT 55 MI...85 KM ENE OF VERACRUZ MEXICOMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGNORTHWARD TO TUXPAN. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...* PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO TUXPAN MEXICO FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITORPRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK------------------------------AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARRY WASLOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.5 WEST. BARRY ISMOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H. A GENERAL WESTWARDTRACK WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT ANDTHURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST IN THE STATE OF VERACRUZ THURSDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING COULD OCCUR BEFORELANDFALL...BUT WEAKENING WILL OCCUR AFTER THE CENTER CROSSES THECOAST ON THURSDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KMPRIMARILY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. WITHIN THE PAST FEW HOURS AWIND GUST TO 44 MPH...71 KM/H...WAS REPORTED AT SACRIFICE ISLANDNEAR VERACRUZ MEXICO. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------RAINFALL...BARRY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONSOF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONSOF SOUTHERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASHFLOODING AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE APPROACHING THE COAST WITHINTHE WARNING AREA. NEXT ADVISORY-------------NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. $$FORECASTER BROWN/BERG

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Enteric Coated Aspirin 81 mg Tablets by Advance
Pharmaceutical Inc.: Recall of One Lot - May Contain Acetaminophen 500 mg Tablets

post from MedWatch Safety Alert RSS Feed on 19 June 2013 05:50:00 PM. © MedWatch Safety Alert RSS Feed

Consumers may inadvertently take Acetaminophen 500 mg instead of Enteric Coated Aspirin 81 mg which may cause severe liver damage to those who take other drugs containing acetaminophen, 3 or more alcoholic drinks every day, or those who have liver disease.

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Advance Pharmaceutical Inc. Issues Voluntary
Recall of One Lot of Enteric Coated Aspirin Tablets, 81 mg, Due to Health Risk

post from Food and Drug Administration--Recalls/Safety Alerts on 19 June 2013 05:27:00 PM. © Food and Drug Administration--Recalls/Safety Alerts

Holtsville, NY, Advance Pharmaceutical Inc. today announced that this firm is conducting a voluntary nationwide recall to the user level of the over-the-counter drug product, Rugby label Enteric Coated Aspirin Tablets, 81 mg, Lot 13A026. Advance Pharmaceutical Inc. first initiated the recall on June 17, 2013, after receiving a complaint about a bottle labeled as Enteric Coated Aspirin Tablets, 81 mg, actually containing Acetaminophen 500 mg tablets.

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Garden-Fresh Foods, Inc. Voluntarily Recalls
Limited Packages of Archer Farms Smoked Salmon Dip Because of Possible Mislabeling

post from Food and Drug Administration--Recalls/Safety Alerts on 19 June 2013 05:24:00 PM. © Food and Drug Administration--Recalls/Safety Alerts

Garden-Fresh Foods Inc. is voluntarily recalling a limited number of packages of Archer Farms Smoked Salmon Dip that may contain undeclared allergens, fish and egg. Some of Archer Farms Smoked Salmon Dip may have inadvertently been filled in a limited amount of Bacon Parmesan Dip containers.

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Tropical Storm BARRY Forecast Discussion Number
10

Issued at 400 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2013

000WTNT42 KNHC 192043TCDAT2 TROPICAL STORM BARRY DISCUSSION NUMBER 10NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022013400 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2013 SATELLITE IMAGERY AND DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANEINDICATE THAT THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN THE SOUTHERN BAY OFCAMPECHE STRENGTHENED AND IS NOW TROPICAL STORM BARRY...THE SECONDNAMED CYCLONE OF THE 2013 SEASON. SFMR AND FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS FROMTHE AIRCRAFT YIELD AN INITIAL INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS. SOME SFMRVALUES WERE A LITTLE HIGHER...BUT THESE WINDS WERE RAINCONTAMINATED AND WERE DISCARDED. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR BARRY TOSTRENGTHEN SLIGHTLY JUST BEFORE LANDFALL DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 18HOURS. RAPID WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED AFTER THE CENTER MOVESINLAND...BUT RAINS WILL CONTINUE. BARRY HAS BEEN MOVING WESTWARD ABOUT 5 TO 10 KNOTS DURING THE DAY...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARS SPEED ISFORECAST TO CONTINUE UNTIL LANDFALL. ONCE INLAND...AND THE CENTERBECOMES DISRUPTED BY THE HIGH TERRAIN...THE REMNANT CIRCULATIONWILL LIKELY CONTINUE WESTWARD OVER THE STATE OF VERACRUZ UNTILDISSIPATION. GLOBAL MODELS HAVE A NARROW RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSUREOVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO...AND THIS FLOW PATTERN ISCONSISTENT WITH THE FORECAST WESTWARD MOTION OF THE TROPICAL STORM. IT IS IMPORTANT TO EMPHASIZE THAT REGARDLESS OF THE EXACT TRACK ANDWHETHER THE CYCLONE STRENGTHENS...THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE HEAVYRAINFALL...WHICH COULD CAUSE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OVER A LARGEPORTION OF SOUTHERN MEXICO PRIMARILY IN THE STATE OF VERACRUZ DURINGTHE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. SO PLEASE DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT CENTERLOCATION OF THE CYCLONE. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 19/2100Z 19.6N 95.2W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 20/0600Z 19.6N 96.2W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 20/1800Z 19.6N 97.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 36H 21/0600Z 19.5N 98.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$FORECASTER AVILA

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Tropical Storm BARRY Public Advisory Number 10

Issued at 400 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2013

000WTNT32 KNHC 192043TCPAT2 BULLETINTROPICAL STORM BARRY ADVISORY NUMBER 10NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022013400 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2013 ...RECONNAISSANCE PLANE FINDS THE SECOND TROPICAL STORM OF THE 2013HURRICANE SEASON... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION----------------------------------------------LOCATION...19.6N 95.2WABOUT 70 MI...115 KM ENE OF VERACRUZ MEXICOMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...OUTSIDE OF THEUNITED STATES NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...* PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO BARRA DE NAUTLA MEXICO FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITORPRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK------------------------------AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARRY WASLOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.2 WEST. BARRY ISMOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H. A GENERAL WESTWARDTRACK WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT ANDTHURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL REACH THE COASTIN THE STATE OF VERACRUZ THURSDAY MORNING. DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THEMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLIGHT STRENGTHENING COULD OCCUR BEFORELANDFALL...BUT WEAKENING WILL OCCUR AFTER THE CENTER CROSSES THECOAST ON THURSDAY.TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KMPRIMARILY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------RAINFALL...BARRY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONSOF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONSOF SOUTHERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASHFLOODING AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNINGAREA BY EARLY THURSDAY. HOWEVER...WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO INCREASELATER TONIGHT SINCE RAINBANDS ARE ALREADY APPROACHING THE COAST. NEXT ADVISORY-------------NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT.NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. $$FORECASTER AVILA

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